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Presented by Jellyfish Research

AI Engineering Trends

September 2026

In this report

  • About this report
  • AIDLC
  • ROI
  • Adoption
  • Download this report
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About this report

About this report

This resource represents the industry’s most comprehensive quantitative analysis of AI transformation in software engineering. Compiled from the largest study of its kind, these results comprise real-world engineering signals about how thousands of organizations and hundreds of thousands of developers are using AI tools across the SDLC.

Use these metrics as an objective baseline to benchmark your organization’s AI adoption and usage maturity. Beyond simple activity signals, this dataset quantifies the correlation between deep tool integration and its impact on measurable gains in delivery throughput and engineering outcomes.

of PRs merged

without human review at leading companies

9%

Open weight model usage

increase MoM, still under 2% of total

3.5x growth

AI spend

for top users

949 $ per month

of Cursor users using Grok 4.6

in its debut month

33%

Total Engineers

294K

Pull Requests

105M

Companies

1300+

Tools Covered

GitHub Copilot GitHub Copilot
GitHub GitHub
Jira Jira
Claude Code Claude Code
Gemini Code Assist Gemini Code Assist
Devin Desktop Devin Desktop
Cursor Cursor
Amazon Q Developer Amazon Q Developer
Greptile Greptile
Baz Baz
Graphite Graphite
CodeRabbit CodeRabbit
Unblocked Unblocked
Augment Augment

AIDLC

AIDLC

AIDLC tracks how AI is becoming a participant in the development lifecycle itself, opening pull requests, reviewing code, and shipping work with progressively less human involvement. These signals capture where organizations sit on the path from AI-assisted engineering to AI-executed engineering.

Jellyfish tracks signals like autonomous agent activity, AI-only review, and model selection to help engineering leaders understand how deeply AI is embedded in their delivery pipeline. As you invest in the AIDLC, determine:

  • How much of your delivery pipeline runs through AI agents rather than through engineers using AI tools?
  • How has human oversight changed in the delivery lifecycle?
  • Which models are actually doing the work, and how quickly does your organization absorb new model generations?

Autonomous Agent Activity

Autonomous Agent Activity

Jellyfish measures Autonomous Agent Activity as the percentage of pull requests that are autonomously created or generated by AI agents. A PR qualifies as agent-generated if it was opened by a user identity that is an agent, or if it contains commits where the committing user is an agent. This metric tracks the emerging frontier of AI adoption, where AI isn’t just assisting engineers, but independently shipping work.

Model Usage

Model Usage

Top 5 models by month-over-month change in user share, July to August 2026

Cursor

RankModelMoM Δ (pp)
1Grok 4.6+19.4pp
2Claude Opus 5+6.1pp
3Grok 4.5+4.6pp
4GPT-5.6 Sol+0.4pp
5GPT-5.6 Luna+0.3pp

GitHub Copilot

RankModelMoM Δ (pp)
1GPT-5.6 Luna+11.4pp
2Claude Sonnet 5+10.4pp
3Claude Opus 5+8.8pp
4GPT-5.6 Terra+8.2pp
5mai-code-1.1-flash+7.33pp

Claude Code

RankModelMoM Δ (pp)
1Claude Opus 5+10.4pp
2Claude Sonnet 5+3.4pp
3Claude Haiku 4.5+2.2pp
4Claude Sonnet 4.5-0.1pp
5Claude Opus 4.6-0.7pp

Jellyfish measures Model Usage as the share of each tool’s active users who used a given model, reported separately for Claude Code, GitHub Copilot, and Cursor. It is calculated from the models invoked by each developer each week. Users can appear under multiple models. 

By analyzing the top three models by share of users each month, we measure how quickly engineering organizations absorb new model generations. As each new release ramps, its predecessor fades, so the top models can change from month to month.

Open Weight Models

Open Weight Models

RankModel% of Open Weight Model Users
1Kimi (Moonshot)67.8%
2GLM (Zhipu/z.ai)31.4%
3Qwen (Alibaba)9.6%
4DeepSeek8.9%
5MiniMax2.4%

Jellyfish measures open weight model usage as the fraction of engineers who selected an open-weight model (e.g. Kimi, GLM, DeepSeek, Qwen) in a given week, alongside which model families lead among the companies using them. It is calculated from per-event model selections, classified by model family.

As software organizations mature in their AI transformation, their AI budgets are growing correspondingly. Teams are employing a number of strategies to manage that spend, including leveraging open-weight models and routing usage through model routers and gateways. This behavior remains concentrated in the most AI-mature companies, with under 2% of companies employing open-weight models or routers regularly, and August held the post-surge highs: 0.7% of weekly engineers used an open-weight model (up from about 0.2% in March), with Kimi at 68% of open-model engineers.

Agentic-Merged PRs

Agentic-Merged PRs

Jellyfish measures agentic-merged PRs as the fraction of a company’s merged pull requests whose only review activity, whether comments or formal reviews, came from AI tools, with no human review input before merge. It is calculated per company over merged PRs opened by humans or AI agents. The data below shows the distribution across companies by percentile.

This metric captures the sharpest edge of AI adoption: work that ships with AI as the only reviewer. While the median company agentic-merges just 0.6% of its PRs, lead adopters of this workflow merge 9%+ of their PRs with no human review.

Agent Skills

Agent Skills

Jellyfish measures invocations of agent skills in Cursor and categorizes them by use-case using an LLM. The data above shows the distribution of skill categories invoked by engineers within Cursor in the past month. 

This captures the current state of AI development practices and the specific workflow steps engineers are augmenting within the AIDLC.

ROI

ROI

AI tooling now carries real and fast-growing costs in licenses, tokens, and per-developer spend, and the question has shifted from “is AI helping?” to “is the spend translating into delivery?” These signals tie AI investment to engineering and business outcomes to help organizations understand where to continue investing in ongoing training, enablement, and process improvements. Software teams are asking:

  • How is AI affecting development throughput and team performance, and how does that compare against what you spend per developer?
  • Where does consumption translate into output? Which teams and kinds of work convert tokens into throughput most efficiently?
  • Are there new bottlenecks (e.g. delayed PR reviews) or runaway costs limiting the return on broader adoption?

AI Spend

AI Spend

Jellyfish measures AI Spend as the cost of AI coding tool usage per developer per week, reported for Claude Code and Cursor. It is calculated by summing each developer’s reported usage costs each week, shown as a distribution across developers.

This metric turns token consumption into budget terms, and the distribution matters as much as the level: spend is highly concentrated, with the heaviest users consuming an order of magnitude more than the median developer. For leaders, it anchors the ROI question by showing what the organization actually pays per developer for the productivity signals measured alongside it.

Token Consumption

Token Consumption

Jellyfish measures Token Consumption as the total number of tokens consumed by a developer while using Claude Code and Cursor. It is calculated by summing all tokens as reported from Claude Code, and Cursor for each developer each week. This metric tracks usage of those tools and the potential budgetary implications of increased AI maturity.

Productivity by Token Consumption

Productivity by Token Consumption

Productivity by Token Consumption

Jellyfish measures Productivity by Token Consumption at the developer-week level. Each developer-week is ranked by its AI token consumption (Cursor + Claude Code) and grouped into 50 equal-sized bins, each 2 percentiles wide. Each point is one bin’s average tokens against its average merged PRs, and the line is a curve fitted to those points. 

This metric addresses the core ROI question of whether consumption converts into output. Throughput rises with token consumption, but not linearly: gains taper off at the high end. As with all comparisons in this report, the relationship is correlational rather than causal.

Adoption

Adoption

Adoption tracks how often teams regularly engage with the provided set of AI tools, enabling them to improve the efficacy of said tools, build trust in the outputs, and remove barriers to adoption. Jellyfish tracks signals like access, adoption, code ration and AI assistance to help engineering leaders assess adoption maturity. At the Adoption stage, determine:

  • How and how much are your teams using AI tools?
  • Are there friction points blocking adoption?
  • Are engineers maturing from experimentation to full adoption?

Access %

Access Percentage

Jellyfish measures Access Percentage as the fraction of engineers at a company who have a license to an AI coding tool. As a baseline adoption metric, Access Percentage establishes the foundation for deeper analysis, including how frequently and deeply AI tools are integrated into developer workflows.

Weekly Active Users %

Weekly Active Users (WAU) Percentage

Jellyfish measures Weekly Active Users (WAU) percentage as the fraction of engineers at a company who actively use an AI coding tool in a given week. This metric captures the frequency of adoption, showing whether engineers are actually integrating AI tools into their regular workflows.

AI Code %

AI Code Percentage

Jellyfish measures AI Code Percentage as the fraction of a company’s shipped code that is AI-assisted. It is calculated as the fraction of merged code additions that were AI-assisted, relative to all code additions in merged pull requests for each company. 

This metric moves beyond tool usage frequency to capture the actual depth of AI’s impact on codebases and coding work.

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Past reports

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This data is updated regularly. You can access past reports here.

January 2026
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